Elections 2024: Political deadlock persists, stalling economic restraint plans

Political talks in Belgium have reached an impasse. Formateur Bart De Wever is expected to offer his resignation to the King on Tuesday after a one-week extension. The ongoing deadlock jeopardises plans for much-needed economic restraint.

After 156 days of intense negotiations, Belgium’s political landscape remains paralysed. De Wever, the leader of right-wing N-VA who was leading the talks, proved unable to secure a coalition. He is expected to inform King Philippe of his intent to resign as formateur on Tuesday morning, which would mark a return to square one in the federal government negotiations. 

Since June's elections, De Wever has tried to negotiate a coalition that includes N-VA, the Christian democratic CD&V, Les Engagés, the francophone liberals of MR and Flemish socialists Vooruit. N-VA emerged as the winner in Flanders and MR dethroned the socialists in Wallonia in June, which led many analysts to believe a quick federal government formation was possible. However, the formation of the centre-right alliance has been in turmoil in recent weeks. 

Socialist resistance

Vooruit, a crucial player, withdrew over socio-economic disagreements. The party said the proposed agreement lacked contributions from wealthier citizens to fiscal reform. De Wever therefore offered his resignation to the King, who extended his mandate as formateur for one week.

He has since tried to explore a different coalition - one without the Flemish socialists but with the Flemish liberals of Open VLD - but without success. That alliance would only have a narrow majority of 76 seats, which is deemed too fragile and unworkable. 

Despite phone calls and last-minute meetings, the political impasse remains. De Wever’s resignation now seems inevitable. What will follow, remains unclear. Speculation centres on appointing a neutral mediator to explore options for a viable coalition.

What is clear is that the prolonged delays will compromise the promised economic reforms, thus increasing pressure for budgetary adjustments. Belgium’s budget situation is disastrous, with both deficit and debt far exceeding EU norms.

The new government will have to cut the budget deficit by 28 billion euros by 2029. Breaking the deadlock is therefore more urgent than ever for any party involved in coalition negotiations. 

(JPO)

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​^{Bart De Wever © BELGA PHOTO DIRK WAEM}